As we enter the 2016 season I always find it interesting the forecasts that organizations put out. Granted there is not much value in these forecasts besides for statistical purposes. Possible in time we will see these numbers have the reliability of “today’s high temperature” since we do know that if you are affected by one storm it could be a very bad year.
I do want to note that NOAA’s forecast is interestingly broad. NOAA’s range is from slightly below average (nine named storms) to 25% above average (16 named storms). As with any discipline you must practice and practice to get any better.
Here are the numbers as of now. I will update the list as we move through the season.