4/1/22 – No Joke, Severe Weather Threat for the Weekend

Good morning, a few notes for the weather today and this weekend. Today we will see the start of a wet pattern across the area as a cold front to our north slowly creeps down the state and then stall over the weekend around the Lake area. We will warm and humid today with highs in the upper 80s and dew points in the 70s. A combination of these items will allow showers and some thunder storms to develop later today and then become more numerous over the weekend,

Forecast map for this afternoon.

Saturday and Sunday we could see a severe weather threat across Broward and Palm Beach counties with the Storm Prediction Center placing us under a Marginal (level 1 of 5) risk of severe weather. For today the risk exists mainly to our north and to the west.

SPC severe weather threat map.

I will have an update later today to be more specific with the overall rain threat and severe weather possibilities.

3/12/22 – Weekend Weather: High Today Near 90°, Gusty Winds, Some Rain, Time Change, and Colder Weather

A lot going on today with the weather as a cold front will sweep through the area. Ahead and after the front winds will pick up and remain gusty. There is a Wind Advisory in effect from 10am this morning though this evening.

Wind Advisory for Saturday.
Cold front can be seen over north Florida.

The first part of the day is going to be nice but very warm as the winds pick up. This will be followed by about 2pm with rain approaching then moving into the area. Rain will not be overall heavy and will linger into the evening. Then the colder weather will filter in.

Using the latest HRRR to outline the highlights of our weather today.
Rain will be approaching SE Florida about 2pm using simulated radar from the HRRR.

We can see the roller coaster of our temps for the next 36 hours.

NWS 36 hour temperature forecast.

Follow me on Twitter where I will post updates today at pompanoweather.

3/10/22 – Weekend Outlook: Hot Saturday with a Strong Cold Front Along with Time Change

A variety of weather between now and the end of the weekend and we have time change on Sunday morning. Between now and the Saturday afternoon our temps will continue to climb a little each day with highs on Saturday around 90°.

NWS forecasted highs and lows.

Then we have a cold front that will sweep through the area Saturday afternoon brining rain, possible thunderstorms, much cooler air and lower dew points for Sunday and the start of the new week. Rainfall amounts are not extend to be high, but if we do get a thunderstorm with the passage amounts could be higher than shown here.

78 hour rainfall amounts, Thursday through Sunday morning.

By Saturday early evening the rain will stop, winds will pick up a bit and the cool air will filter in that will give us a wonderful Sunday weather wise. This is a comparison of the GFS and Euro for the timing of the frontal passage.

An update will be out tomorrow.

3/4/22 – Weekend Outlook: Beautiful and Breezy

We have a beautiful weather weekend ahead with warm temps and breezy conditions. The only downside will be dangerous rip currents at the beaches.

High pressure will be in control of our weather which will lead to mostly dry and mostly sunny weather. We have a very slight chance of an isolated, light shower through Sunday.

Friday morning satellite image showing very little in the way of activity near Florida.
Surface map for Saturday morning.

Our temperatures will not be extreme for this time of the year, highs around 80° and lows around 70°. Though we will warm up next week.

NWS seven day forecast.

The most noticeable weather this weekend will be the wind. Wind will increase gradually today and then pick up more tonight and park on Sunday when we may have gusts up to 25mph. The HRRR model shows this clearly as we see gust up to 20mph tarting around sunset tonight.

Early Friday HRRR 48 hour output.

Plan to get out this weekend and enjoy this time of year in Florida. Plenty of activities going on including the Renaissance Festival in Deerfield. Just stay out of the water at the beaches.

1/30/22 – One More Cold Night, Warming Up This Week

After a very cold weekend we are in for a gradual warmup this week. With lows in the upper 30s to around 40° this morning we will be about 5° warmer Monday morning. From there our gradual warming begins with a high of 70° Monday afternoon.

NWS forecast for this week.

Minimal rain, if any at all this week. No expecting any rain through Tuesday. Starting on Wednesday there could be a couple showers in the area. That risk remains for the rest of the week.

Looking back on today, here are the highs and lows from today (Location/High/Low/Precipitation):

FLL : Fort Lauderdale Intl : 63 / 40 / 0.00
FXE : Fort Lauderdale Exec : 62 / 40 / 0.00
HST : Homestead AFB : 60 / 40 / 0.00
MIA : Miami : 63 / 42 / 0.00
APF : Naples : 61 / 37 / 0.00
OPF : Opa-locka : 62 / 41 / 0.00
HWO : Pembroke Pines : 62 / 39 / 0.00
PMP : Pompano Beach : 62 / 40 / 0.00
TMB : West Kendall-Tamiami : 63 / 39 / 0.00
PBI : West Palm Beach : 61 / 37 / 0.00

Have a great week!

Low Temps for 1/24/2022

Our lows this morning were about what was expected, with a low of 46F at Pompano Airpark. Around Broward, the lowest temps recorded was 42 degrees at a few sites:

1 WNW PLANTATION              42 F     0754 AM 01/24                          
1 SW COOPER CITY              42 F     0549 AM 01/24                          
1 E MIRAMAR                   42 F     0810 AM 01/24

In Palm Beach County, the lowest temperature was 38 degrees at the following locations:

LOXAHATCHEE                   38 F     0749 AM 01/24                          
PALM BEACH GARDENS 38 F 0735 AM 01/24  
JUPITER 39 F 0729 AM 01/24  
ROYAL PALM BEACH 39 F 0726 AM 01/24  
WEST PALM BEACH 39 F 0740 AM 01/24  
WELLINGTON 39 F 0731 AM 01/24  
2 S JUNO BEACH 39 F 0735 AM 01/24

We are warming up tomorrow with a chance of showers then widely scattered showers as we go into the evening and overnight hours.

The latest European model shows a low of 38 for Pompano on Saturday morning.

Stay warm and have a great evening.

1/20/22 – Warmer Today with a Chance of Showers, Friday Possible Strong Storms

We are much warmer this morning compared to yesterday. 7am temperature at Pompano is 71°. Showers chances will increase today as we get a breeze off the ocean which will also increase our dew points/humidity.

Tomorrow we will have another cold front approach the area late in the day which will increase our rain chances. This front will not be as potent and will linger to our south which will keep rain chances through the weekend.

Forecast map for Friday night.

With the front approaching we will see a chance of severe weather with the main threats being strong, gusty winds and possible small hail. Dynamics are different and the chance of a tornado is not elevated. Current timing for the strongest of storms will be between 6pm and 2am.

SPC threat map for Friday.

I will update the timing and severe threat on Friday.

1/16/22 – Possible Severe Weather Approaching

By 1pm the strongest storms should be over the east coast areas. Please check the Twitter account for the latest information on warnings.

Currently a Tornado Watch is in effect until 3pm. Strongest activity is expected in the next hour. Latest radar and severe weather outlook.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been issued for most of Broward and Palm Beach counties.

1/11/22 Rain with Cooler Temps Ahead

Certainly more rain around than we have see in awhile. As of 7pm tonight Pompano Airpark has received .71 inches of rain, with more to come. Latest satellite (water vapor) shows dry air well to our north with ample moisture in place over south Florida.

For the rest of the week, Wednesday into Thursday morning much of the same pattern we have seen today. This is ahead of a front that will clear our area on Thursday afternoon bringing the first of two shots of cooler are to the area. Friday and Saturday, clear and cooler. Starting Saturday night we will see an increase in showers ahead of the second front. This will clear our area on Sunday and in its wake give us more cooler and clearer weather. This should give us our coldest temps of the season so far, around 53°.

Forecast map for Sunday morning with the approach of the second cold front.
Seven day forecast from NWS Miami.

No severe weather is expected though we did have some flood advisories out earlier this evening. Rip currents are likely at the east coast beaches.

Besides the rain with the front on Sunday, the weekend outlook is clear and cool.