Certainly a cloudy, humid morning to start our weekend while we are under a Flood Watch through at least this evening. Rain threat is indirectly caused from Tropical Storm Cristobal in the central Gulf of Mexico.
Cristobal is a lop-sided storm with dry air on the west side and all the moisture and wind on the east. Activity will move from Cristobal towards Florida. Current radar shows most of this activity not quite making it over to the east coast but there is plenty of moisture and with daytime heating we may see showers and thunderstorms especially this afternoon and evening.
Though forecasted rainfall amounts are not high, it would not take much above these values to caused localized flooding in south Florida. This is why the Flood Watch is in effect, even though most areas around Pompano are expecting less than a quarter of an inch.
Thunderstorms are also possible today and areas to our west do have a Marginal chance of severe weather. I will be watching this today and will update if the severe weather chances are bumped up for the east coast.
Temp wise we are looking for a high of 84° with the before mentioned clouds and winds picking up a bit. Overall not feeling too bad out there even with dew points around 75°.
We are in store for a very pleasant weather day with some clouds and warm temps with just a few spotty showers around this afternoon. High today will be 87°. Tomorrow will be much the same with a slightly better chance of rain. Hour by hour temps:
Launch weather to our north does not look as favorable with rain associated with afternoon convention around that is likely to hamper the launch this afternoon. Both the Euro and HRRR show rain around 3pm.
The official NWS forecast at 3pm is not encouraging at all for Cape Canaveral. Calling for a likely chance of rain and thunder before and after launch time.
Finally for this morning, still watching the tropics as a disturbance in the Atlantic looks a bit better organized this morning but it appears some dry air in the area may inhibit development. Currently the NHC gives it a medium chance of development over the next five days. Regardless this will not impact Florida.
I will try to update Twitter later with launch weather updates.
After a couple of rainy weather weekend we are in for a change as most of the coastal areas of Broward and Palm Beach counties should be rain free through the weekend. There will be a mixture of clouds and sun with highs on Saturday 87° after a low of 78°. NWS rainfall map for the next three days.
I have had a few questions about tomorrow’s launch forecast for SpaceX Falcon 9 Dragon Crew Demo-2 and it looks quite iffy. NASA currently give a 50% chance of permissible weather with the weather threats being rain and rules not allowing flight through cumulus clouds and anvils.
Latest EURO shows rain in the general area mid afternoon tomorrow.
The latest HRRR predictive radar also indicate rain in the east Central Florida area.
I will post an update in the morning with the latest data and also more on the tropical disturbance being monitored in the Atlantic, that is not a threat to our area.
As we enter the late afternoon rain has picked up over the east coast areas with many areas having now received well over an inch of rain in the past couple of hours. Radar shows this activity lifting north with more behind it.
Infrared satellite shows an impressive area of cooler tops off the coast with lightning now being detected.
Rain will continue through the evening with occasional breaks. Will update later with areas rainfall amounts. Check Twitter for quick updates as we continue through the evening,
Remembering those who gave all they could to our country.
We have a wet balance of the Memorial Day weekend coming up as the NWS has issued a Flood Watch for all of South Florida that will begin at 2pm. Current forecast call for between two and four inches with up to six inches in isolated areas. Flood Watch will run through tomorrow.
The latest HRRR model shows rain being in the area trough the next 36 hours but there will be some occasional break
With the exceeding cloud cover and rain temps today will struggle to climb today, expecting a high today around 82° and about the same tomorrow.
Certainly a good day to stay in (I know) and if you have to go out watch where you drive and remember if you cannot see the bottom of a puddle, “Turn Around, Don’t Drown.”
According to storm reports some roads in Pompano Beach were impassible or nearly impassible with heavy rain that passed trough the area between 2am and 4am this morning. Some locations reported by the NWS that had flooded roadways were:
McNab Road between 15th and 21st Streets
Palm Aire area
North Andrews Avenue and Copland Road
North Andrews Avenue and 15th Street
Radar at the time did show heavier activity in that area.
For today we will continue to have a chance for showers but nearly the amount we saw yesterday and overnight, but it will not take much to aggravate conditions in these areas with flooding. Be careful if you are out and remember, Turn Around Don’t Drown.
Current three day rainfall forecast is about a half-inch to 1.5 inches. Over SE Florida.
If you have pictures of flooding or severe weather please send them.
The weekend will not be a washout but we need to get through tonight and tomorrow morning. By later tomorrow afternoon showers will diminish but we will still hold on to some showers around. Highs both Saturday and Sunday will be 87°F.
Plenty of rain currently as some areas are under a Flash Flood Warning until 1245am. This is associated with a low pressure system that is expected to develop into a tropical depression or storm over the Bahamas tomorrow. We will not see any direct impacts from the system besides what we are experiencing now. The Wind Advisory we had earlier today was cancelled earlier this afternoon.
As the system moves away tomorrow evening and into Sunday our weather will improve to a more typical May Day. For that reason it will not be a wash out overall. So a split between staying in the house and the outdoors.
Just a quick post that for the sixth year in a row we may see a named storm form prior to June 1. Models are indicating that a low may form southeast of Florida and move north over the Bahamas where it could further develop into a tropical storm. The area the NHC has indicated where it may form is in red this weekend.
Though we will have a good chance of rain Friday through the weekend we will see no direct impacts besides the rain from this system if it develops. Global models all indicate that the system will move AWAY from Florida. The latest ensemble from the Euro help depict this.
I will have an update later this week on the evolution of this system and our weekend weather.