Category: Uncategorized

FLZ071-072-172-051800-
COASTAL BROWARD COUNTY FL-INLAND BROWARD COUNTY FL-
METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL-
1258 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

…SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR UP TO 55 MPH WINDS AND UP TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL FOR NORTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY UNTIL 200 PM EDT…

* AT 1257 PM EDT…DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER VILLAGE PARK…OR NEAR MARGATE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY
STATIONARY.

* THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE UP TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS OF UP TO 55 MPH. THESE WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES…AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
FORT LAUDERDALE…HOLLYWOOD…CORAL SPRINGS…POMPANO BEACH… DAVIE…PLANTATION…SUNRISE…TAMARAC…MARGATE…
LAUDERDALE-BY-THE-SEA…LAUDERHILL…COCONUT CREEK…
OAKLAND PARK…NORTH LAUDERDALE…LAUDERDALE LAKES…DANIA BEACH… PARKLAND…WILTON MANORS…SEA RANCH LAKES AND LAZY LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM…AND MAY LEAD TO STREET FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT…LON 2623 8007 2605 8011 2613 8033 2631 8026
TIME…MOT…LOC 1657Z 313DEG 1KT 2620 8020

$$

ALM

FLZ072>074-032215-
INLAND MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL-METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL-
METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL-
533 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

…SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND 45 TO 55 MPH WINDS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL BROWARD AND NORTH CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT…

* AT 533 PM EDT…DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MEDLEY…OR NEAR HIALEAH…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES… AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
HIALEAH…PEMBROKE PINES…MIRAMAR…DAVIE…MIAMI GARDENS… WESTON…DORAL…MIAMI LAKES…HIALEAH GARDENS…OPA-LOCKA… SWEETWATER…MEDLEY…PALM SPRINGS NORTH…SUN LIFE STADIUM… COUNTRY CLUB…MIRAMAR PARKWAY AND UNIVERSITY DRIVE…PENNSUCO… INTERSECTION KROME AND U.S. 27…TAMIAMI AND FOUNTAINBLEAU.

LAT…LON 2576 8039 2583 8045 2607 8041 2596 8019
TIME…MOT…LOC 2133Z 225DEG 7KT 2587 8036

$$

KONARIK

FLZ067-068-168-032200-
COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
518 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

…SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND 45 TO 55 MPH WINDS FOR NORTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 600 PM EDT…

* AT 518 PM EDT…DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM JUNO BEACH TO NEAR WELLINGTON…AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES… AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
WEST PALM BEACH…BOYNTON BEACH…DELRAY BEACH…WELLINGTON… JUPITER…PALM BEACH GARDENS…LAKE WORTH…RIVIERA BEACH… PALM BEACH…TEQUESTA…JUNO BEACH…OCEAN RIDGE…GREENACRES… ROYAL PALM BEACH…PALM SPRINGS…NORTH PALM BEACH…LANTANA… LAKE PARK…ATLANTIS AND HAVERHILL.

LAT…LON 2648 8003 2652 8030 2690 8018 2697 8006
2697 8003
TIME…MOT…LOC 2118Z 227DEG 10KT 2688 8004 2661 8025

$$

KONARIK
MFL-79799

The automated station on the Tyndall Tower south of Apalachicolarecently reported a sustained wind of 55 mph (89 km/h) and a wind

gust of 73 mph (117 km/h) at an elevation of 115 ft (35 m). During

the past hour, wind gusts of 52 mph (83 km/h) occurred at Keaton

Beach and Clearwater Beach, and 51 mph (81 km/h) at Cedar Key.

HURRICANE HERMINE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATENWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016

155 PM CDT THU SEP 01 2016
…DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT

HERMINE HAS STRENGTHENED TO A HURRICANE…
Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate

that maximum sustained winds in Hermine have increased to near 75

mph (120 km/h). Based on these data, Hermine is now upgraded to a

hurricane, the fourth hurricane of 2016 in the Atlantic basin.

FLZ067-068-071>074-168-172>174-010345-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE COUNTY FL-COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
COASTAL BROWARD COUNTY FL-INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-INLAND MIAMI- DADE COUNTY FL-INLAND BROWARD COUNTY FL-FAR SOUTH MIAMI-
DADE COUNTY FL-METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL-METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY FL- METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL-
1056 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

…SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR 45 TO 55 MPH WINDS FOR EASTERN BROWARD AND CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM EDT…

* AT 1056 PM EDT…DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WEST KENDALL…OR OVER KENDALL…MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

* THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. THESE WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES…AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
MIAMI…HIALEAH…FORT LAUDERDALE…PEMBROKE PINES…HOLLYWOOD… MIRAMAR…CORAL SPRINGS…POMPANO BEACH…DAVIE…PLANTATION… SUNRISE…BOCA RATON…DEERFIELD BEACH…HOMESTEAD…TAMARAC… MARGATE…CORAL GABLES…SOUTH MIAMI…
LIGHTHOUSE POINT AND LAUDERDALE-BY-THE-SEA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM…AND MAY LEAD TO STREET FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT…LON 2530 8032 2528 8036 2533 8071 2633 8048
2633 8006
TIME…MOT…LOC 0256Z 196DEG 28KT 2569 8038

$$

IRL

FLC011-302115-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FA.Y.0063.160830T1814Z-160830T2115Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BROWARD FL-
214 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR…
EASTERN BROWARD COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA…

* UNTIL 515 PM EDT

* AT 213 PM EDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA. THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL MAKE MINOR FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TURN AROUND…DON’T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS…URBAN AREAS…HIGHWAYS…STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

&&

LAT…LON 2632 8016 2613 8020 2597 8038 2600 8054
2632 8036

$$

KONARIK

FLC099-302115-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FA.Y.0062.160830T1808Z-160830T2115Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PALM BEACH FL-
208 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR…
NORTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA…

* UNTIL 515 PM EDT

* AT 207 PM EDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE…
WEST PALM BEACH…WELLINGTON…PALM BEACH GARDENS…
RIVIERA BEACH AND GREENACRES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA. THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL MAKE MINOR FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TURN AROUND…DON’T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT…LON 2686 8012 2669 8007 2658 8012 2662 8036
2690 8031

$$

KONARIK

As we are watching the evolution of 99L in the Atlantic we should remind ourselves of a few things:

1 – There are many, many models for different purposes. Some are better than others and each one has strengths and weaknesses. We often hear of the Euro or the GFS when it comes to tropical systems because there are very good, but far from perfect, tools. So not get caught up with a model or an individual run.

2 – At this time, 10pm Tuesdat night, we have a tropical wave that does not have a center. It does have a broad rotation that could, and will probably consolidate. Until there is a center of circulation the models do not have a great handle on the system.  In looking at the latest infra-red and the last visible satellite images this evening I would say there is a chance if a center forms it could either form in the northern or southern lobe of the system.  If the center evolves from the southern lobe the current model solutions would not be valid.

3 – Do not only focus on the center or forecast paths.  Heavy rains are usually many, many miles from the center regardless of the strength of the storm.  

4 – BE PREPARED! This is hurricane season. Have your supplies ready, do not wait for watches and/or warnings to be issued.  Whether we get a full blown hurricane or some showers from this system, there will be another.  Maybe not this year, maybe this year.  It is much easier to gradually get ready than to rush out and try to find what you need for you, your family, and your pets. Here is a great link to help prepare.

With that said, stay informed. I try to get relevant information about the north Broward area out in timely manner.  As we go trough this week check the NHC and NWS Miami’s sites for current information about our weather.

Here is the latest outlook from the NHC for 99L: