3/6/21 – Showers Very Likely Saturday, Less so on Sunday

Though the air is relatively dry tonight we will see the atmosphere moisten up as a frontal system approaches and then goes through the area Saturday afternoon and into early Sunday morning. The latest HRRR model shows the progression of this system and the potential rainfall through the area.

HRRR model run 8pm Friday through Sunday afternoon.

Not expecting any wide-spread severe weather over the weekend though thunderstorms with gusty winds will be possible. Rainfall totals could be up to an inch, with some locally higher amounts possible.

72 hour rainfall totals, NWS forecast.

Sunday looks clearer and will be a better day for outdoor activities.

I will update Saturday morning with the latest including rainfall estimates and if anything changes on the severe weather threat.

Happy Thanksgiving 2020 – Almost Perfect South Fla Weather

Happy Thanksgiving and we have almost a weather-perfect day to be outside with only the slightest chance of an afternoon shower. Just keep that in mind if you are having your meal outside but this will only be a very isolated issue and should be quick.

Otherwise we will have some clouds, a nice breeze, and a high of 80F. This should be the trend we see through the holiday weekend with only the slightest chance of a fast moving shower.

After the weekend we will be watching for the cold front that will really change on weather starting Tuesday, a nice drop in temps coming up.

Enjoy your holiday as I share this Tweet:


11/14/20 1021am Significant Weather Advisory


* At 1021 AM EST, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a gusty shower over Downtown Fort Lauderdale, or near Fort
  Lauderdale, moving west at 5 mph.

* Funnel clouds possible with this shower.

* Locations impacted include…
  Fort Lauderdale, Plantation, Sunrise, Tamarac, Lauderhill, Oakland
  Park, Lauderdale Lakes, Dania Beach, Wilton Manors, Lazy Lake, St.
  George, Downtown Fort Lauderdale, Broadview Park, Franklin Park,
  Golden Heights, Melrose Park, Chula Vista, Washington Park, Fort
  Lauderdale – Hollywood International Airport and Boulevard Gardens.


This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

6/6/20 – Flood Watch as Tropical Storm Cristobal Moves North

Certainly a cloudy, humid morning to start our weekend while we are under a Flood Watch through at least this evening. Rain threat is indirectly caused from Tropical Storm Cristobal in the central Gulf of Mexico.

Cristobal is a lop-sided storm with dry air on the west side and all the moisture and wind on the east. Activity will move from Cristobal towards Florida. Current radar shows most of this activity not quite making it over to the east coast but there is plenty of moisture and with daytime heating we may see showers and thunderstorms especially this afternoon and evening.

Though forecasted rainfall amounts are not high, it would not take much above these values to caused localized flooding in south Florida. This is why the Flood Watch is in effect, even though most areas around Pompano are expecting less than a quarter of an inch.

Thunderstorms are also possible today and areas to our west do have a Marginal chance of severe weather. I will be watching this today and will update if the severe weather chances are bumped up for the east coast.

Temp wise we are looking for a high of 84° with the before mentioned clouds and winds picking up a bit. Overall not feeling too bad out there even with dew points around 75°.

Enjoy the day!

5/30/20 – Warm with Some Clouds, Questionable Launch Weather

We are in store for a very pleasant weather day with some clouds and warm temps with just a few spotty showers around this afternoon. High today will be 87°. Tomorrow will be much the same with a slightly better chance of rain. Hour by hour temps:

Launch weather to our north does not look as favorable with rain associated with afternoon convention around that is likely to hamper the launch this afternoon. Both the Euro and HRRR show rain around 3pm.

The official NWS forecast at 3pm is not encouraging at all for Cape Canaveral. Calling for a likely chance of rain and thunder before and after launch time.

Finally for this morning, still watching the tropics as a disturbance in the Atlantic looks a bit better organized this morning but it appears some dry air in the area may inhibit development. Currently the NHC gives it a medium chance of development over the next five days. Regardless this will not impact Florida.

I will try to update Twitter later with launch weather updates.

5/29/20 – Better Weather Weekend and Launch Forecast

After a couple of rainy weather weekend we are in for a change as most of the coastal areas of Broward and Palm Beach counties should be rain free through the weekend. There will be a mixture of clouds and sun with highs on Saturday 87° after a low of 78°. NWS rainfall map for the next three days.

I have had a few questions about tomorrow’s launch forecast for SpaceX Falcon 9 Dragon Crew Demo-2 and it looks quite iffy. NASA currently give a 50% chance of permissible weather with the weather threats being rain and rules not allowing flight through cumulus clouds and anvils.

Latest EURO shows rain in the general area mid afternoon tomorrow.

The latest HRRR predictive radar also indicate rain in the east Central Florida area.

I will post an update in the morning with the latest data and also more on the tropical disturbance being monitored in the Atlantic, that is not a threat to our area.

Have a good evening.

5/25/20 – Flood Watch Continues, Heaviest Rains Affecting the Area Now

As we enter the late afternoon rain has picked up over the east coast areas with many areas having now received well over an inch of rain in the past couple of hours. Radar shows this activity lifting north with more behind it.

Infrared satellite shows an impressive area of cooler tops off the coast with lightning now being detected.

Rain will continue through the evening with occasional breaks. Will update later with areas rainfall amounts. Check Twitter for quick updates as we continue through the evening,

5/24/20 – Memorial Day Weekend, Flood Watch Begins at 2PM

Remembering those who gave all they could to our country.

We have a wet balance of the Memorial Day weekend coming up as the NWS has issued a Flood Watch for all of South Florida that will begin at 2pm. Current forecast call for between two and four inches with up to six inches in isolated areas. Flood Watch will run through tomorrow.

The latest HRRR model shows rain being in the area trough the next 36 hours but there will be some occasional break

With the exceeding cloud cover and rain temps today will struggle to climb today, expecting a high today around 82° and about the same tomorrow.

Certainly a good day to stay in (I know) and if you have to go out watch where you drive and remember if you cannot see the bottom of a puddle, “Turn Around, Don’t Drown.”

5/16/20 – 24 Hour Precipitation Totals

Here are the 24 hour rainfall totals along with highs and lows ending at 7am this morning across south Florida.

  • FLL : Fort Lauderdale Intl : 81 / 72 / 2.55
  • FXE : Fort Lauderdale Exec : 79 / 72 / 5.40
  • HST : Homestead AFB : 83 / 72 / 0.36
  • MIA : Miami : 81 / 71 / 1.41
  • APF : Naples : 83 / 73 / 0.04
  • OPF : Opa-locka : 81 / 72 / 4.48
  • HWO : Pembroke Pines : 83 / 73 / 1.24
  • PMP : Pompano Beach : 79 / 72 / 1.95
  • TMB : West Kendall-Tamiami : 85 / 72 / 0.14
  • PBI : West Palm Beach : 80 / 73 / 0.45

5/16/20 – Overnight Flooding in Pompano

According to storm reports some roads in Pompano Beach were impassible or nearly impassible with heavy rain that passed trough the area between 2am and 4am this morning. Some locations reported by the NWS that had flooded roadways were:

  • McNab Road between 15th and 21st Streets
  • Palm Aire area
  • North Andrews Avenue and Copland Road
  • North Andrews Avenue and 15th Street

Radar at the time did show heavier activity in that area.

For today we will continue to have a chance for showers but nearly the amount we saw yesterday and overnight, but it will not take much to aggravate conditions in these areas with flooding. Be careful if you are out and remember, Turn Around Don’t Drown.

Current three day rainfall forecast is about a half-inch to 1.5 inches. Over SE Florida.

If you have pictures of flooding or severe weather please send them.