8/5/22 – Weekend Forecast

Not a bad weather weekend ahead, though be prepared for some showers and possible thunderstorms as we go into Saturday and Sunday. Highs will continue to hover around 90° with lows around 80°.

Rainfall totals will be modest for those who do see rain, between a quarter and one-half inch through Sunday night.

Rainfall totals through Sunday night.

For those who may head out tonight to Pompano’s Old Town Untapped we should be mostly rain free, though a quick passing shower is possible. Temperature will be around 85° with partly cloudy skies and a light breeze.

7/10/22 Work Week Forecast: Hot and Mostly Dry to Start Off

Though we are seeing some showers and thunderstorms this Sunday afternoon the week ahead will be quite warm with highs in the lower 90s. Rain chance the first part of the week will be low followed by a better chance of showers Thursday and Friday. Through Wednesday we may see between one-quarter and one-half inch of rain. Central and the panhandle part of the start will see greater amounts.

Rainfall amounts forecasted through Wednesday morning.

For tropical weather we will be watching a trough of low pressure over the southeast US that could generate an area of low pressure in the northern Gulf of Mexico by late week. I am not expecting this to directly affect us in south Florida.

Tropical weather outlook issued at 2pm Sunday.

Stay hydrated and enjoy your week.

6/4/22 830am – Tropical Storm Warning and Flood Watch Remain in Effect

A night of steady rain which at times was heavy will continue into our Saturday. As PTC1 approaches the southwest Florida coast we will see some of the activity pickup. Rain will subside late this afternoon then into the evening as PTC1 moves off of Florida into the Atlantic.

Miami radar as of 819am. The last round of showers now approaching the west coast of the state.
Satellite loop from the past three hours. Notice lack of activity behind the system.
Latest information on PTC1 as of 8am.

I will have more updates on Twitter today, feel free to share any pictures you have of the storm today.

6/3/22 1015pm – Tropical Storm Warning and Flood Watch

Not much change to the forecast and expectations overnight and into Saturday. The system does not have a closed circulation, hence it is still Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 (PTC1) Here is the latest forecast and the Tropical Storm Warnings in effect.

8pm Advisory for PTC1.

The system is not well organized with all of the convection east of the broad low pressure center. This is easier seen on water vapor imagery.

Water vapor loop on PTC1.

Looking closely at the loop above, it appears the activity is waning somewhat, not a sign of intensification. Rainfall through the weekend is still five plus inches for many areas.

Rainfall forecast through the weekend, most of this will fall between now and Saturday night.

Latest tropical models remain very consistency with taking the center over Lake Okeechobee. With this system, it is not about the system but the area of rain to the east of it.

Lastly for now, here are 10pm observations from across south Florida and the Keys. Most sites are reporting rain to heavy rain, but the winds are not significant at this time.

10pm observations across south Florida.

I will have periodic updates on Twitter. Please share any pictures or observations you have as we go through the night and Saturday.

6/1/22 Hurricane Season Starts with Watching the Gulf

Currently a band of showers and thunderstorms have setup over north Broward. This is a sample of what is to come in the Friday afternoon to Sunday morning time frame.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring some of the remnants of Hurricane Agetha that came ashore Mexico earlier this week. Currently the area in red has an 80% chance of becoming a tropical system. If it gets a name, it will be Alex.

June 1, 8pm Tropical Weather Outlook
Satellite image at 1025pm EDT.

The future of the system path is fairly certain to come towards Florida then into the Bahama. This will likely produce three to five inches of rain in most areas with locally heavier amounts.

The latest guidance suggest that the further south the system goes the faster the rain will move in and depart. A track closer to the Naples area will produce more rain. Air Force recon will investigate the area starting tomorrow, giving models more data and more reliable output. The 8pm models are below.

June 1, 8pm. Model runs.

Tomorrow should give us more clarity on what to expect this Friday and into the weekend. Please stop by then.

5/30/22 Memorial Day – Showers and Thunderstorms Possible Today

Another day with showers and thunderstorms around but not all day. The main focus will be mid afternoon to early evening for today’s activity, but at this time not expecting the rainfall amounts we saw on Sunday. Here is the 24 hour rainfall forecast for the state. The Pompano area can expect one half to one inch of rain,.

Partly to cloudy skies today with a high of 86° for this Memorial Day where we honor those who have given their lives for the freedom we have today.

Latest satellite image showing plenty of activity around the southern part of Florida and the Bahamas.

Finally for this morning, the National Hurricane Season has bumped up the chances for development to medium for the area around the Yucatán peninsula. An area for us to keep an eye on, there is no immediate threat.

Tropical Weather Outlook for May 30, 2022, 8am.

5/29/22 Strong Storms and Heavy Rain Setting In

Over the past couple of hours thunderstorm activity has blossomed over southeast Florida. Between the satellite and radar loops the focus has been on the eastern half of the counties.

Three hour satellite loop.
Radar loop.

Pompano Beach Airport has recorded a 44mph wind gust last hour and over 1.5 inches of rain. There have also been a couple of small hail reports.

Follow on Twitter for other updates this afternoon and evening.

5/22/22 – New Week Outlook and First Tropical Disturbance of the 2022 Season

After a very wet and storm end of last week, then a dry, very warm weekend we will see some moderation in the temperature as we go into this new week. Rain chances do not increase until mid week and then do return for the Memorial Day weekend with a trough of low pressure that will be in our area. We will look closer at the weekend later in the week. Here are the forecasted highs and lows for the next seven days.

NWS forecasted highs and lows.

We also have our first tropical disturbance identified this evening. This will not affect south Florida but just a reminder the season is upon us. This is the time to begin our preparedness.

8pm Tropical Weather Outlook. Area will move inland tomorrow, not likely to develop into anything before given the proximity to land.

4/1/22 – No Joke, Severe Weather Threat for the Weekend

Good morning, a few notes for the weather today and this weekend. Today we will see the start of a wet pattern across the area as a cold front to our north slowly creeps down the state and then stall over the weekend around the Lake area. We will warm and humid today with highs in the upper 80s and dew points in the 70s. A combination of these items will allow showers and some thunder storms to develop later today and then become more numerous over the weekend,

Forecast map for this afternoon.

Saturday and Sunday we could see a severe weather threat across Broward and Palm Beach counties with the Storm Prediction Center placing us under a Marginal (level 1 of 5) risk of severe weather. For today the risk exists mainly to our north and to the west.

SPC severe weather threat map.

I will have an update later today to be more specific with the overall rain threat and severe weather possibilities.

3/12/22 – Weekend Weather: High Today Near 90°, Gusty Winds, Some Rain, Time Change, and Colder Weather

A lot going on today with the weather as a cold front will sweep through the area. Ahead and after the front winds will pick up and remain gusty. There is a Wind Advisory in effect from 10am this morning though this evening.

Wind Advisory for Saturday.
Cold front can be seen over north Florida.

The first part of the day is going to be nice but very warm as the winds pick up. This will be followed by about 2pm with rain approaching then moving into the area. Rain will not be overall heavy and will linger into the evening. Then the colder weather will filter in.

Using the latest HRRR to outline the highlights of our weather today.
Rain will be approaching SE Florida about 2pm using simulated radar from the HRRR.

We can see the roller coaster of our temps for the next 36 hours.

NWS 36 hour temperature forecast.

Follow me on Twitter where I will post updates today at pompanoweather.