6/16/18 – Dryer Weekend Ahead? Very Possibly

Good morning and it appears we are on the brink of some slightly drier weather ahead for the weekend and into early next week. High pressure over the Bahamas will move west. This will not eliminate showers/thunderstorms but the coverage will be less and focus more towards the center of the state. The latest HRRR shows showers not as widespread late afternoon today.

Today’s high will be 89F with our weather threats being lightning associated with the any of the storms that form and a waterspout cannot be ruled out for coastal shower activity.

The Euro rainfall forecast for the weekend shows accusations under .5 inches for most of the area.

NWS highs and lows for the days ahead do not change much day-to-day.

Enjoy the day, get outside and enjoy it.

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5/27/18 – Flood Watch as Alberto Moves Towards the Gulf Coast

Subtropical Storm Alberto has entered the Gulf of Mexico, currently with max winds of 40mph. We have had gusts exceeding that this morning, most recently at a mesonet station two miles west of Lighthouse Point at 443am of 46mph.

Currently in Pompano 77F with light rain, winds are from the SE at 25mph with gusts to 31mph. Here is the radar where you can see the heaviest rain is off shore.

As Alberto begins to move towards the NNW later today we will need to watch the rain bands and see if they move closer to the coast, this could increase of rainfall totals and that is why we have the Flood Watch in effect. Latest rainfall total forecast from NWS Miami.

Latest satellite image showing Alberto and its proximity to SE Florida

We are under no tropical watches or warnings and I would not expect any to be issued though we could see a wind advisory later today if the winds were to pick up. Latest advisory on Alberto with forecast .

So, not the best outdoors day. Marine conditions will be rough. Do not drive through flooded roadways and if you are out today please allow extra time. More later.

Some pictures from Pompano Beach this morning. Enjoy the day!

Subtropical Storm Alberto and the Effects for SE Florida

Well, this is how we will start off the 2018 Hurricane Season. To be clear, this is not an Irma situation and will not see the widespread wind damage we had in September. At the same time we do need to be ready as we head into this season.

Wet weekend, yes. As wet as last weekend, probably not. But the potential is there for Flash Flooding and a Flood Watch will be in effect starting at 8am on Saturday. Current official NWS rainfall forecast through Monday at 8pm look like this.

Latest GFS and Euro do come in at 1.7 and 3.0 inches respectfully for the time frame. Today’s rain fall in the Pompano area amounted to between a half-inch to just under an inch.

In addition to the rain our weather threats this weekend include a moderate to high risk of rip currents and the potential for some strong to sever storms Saturday night into Sunday morning. I will wait until tomorrow to expand on this.

Model agreement is very good with the future track of Alberto taking the system into the north, central Gulf coast. No need to focus on the center of this storm, we are on the west side which is the wet, stormier side of tropical systems. Latest runs look like this.

To summarize, no need to panic but use caution if you are out and about this weekend and remember “turn around, don’t drown.” For your safety and your vehicle’s well being if you cannot determine how deep puddles are DO NOT drive through it.

Have a great night and watch for an update tomorrow.

5/20/2018 – Rain and Some More Rain

Not much more to say but we have more rain not only today but for the week ahead. Widespread severe weather is not expected but we are in an Flood Watch until 11pm tonight. Some of the activity today could contain lightning and gusty winds. For mariners waterspouts are possible over the local waters. So, again, not the best outdoors day.

Current radar and satellite show the large area of rain over us now with the satellite image indicating this extends down into the southern Bahamas and Cuba.

Local high resolution models maintain the rain activity throughout the day, here is the HRRR simulate radar for 3pm today.

As mentioned rain is on tap for the work week ahead too. Official NWS rainfall forecast for the entire state show moat all areas receiving at least an inch over the next five days with southeast Florida seeing much more.

For the month so far (as of yesterday 8am) here are the area totals for rainfall.

I will post later for our more than likely wet Holiday weekend. Here is another example of the weather outside this morning at Pompano Beach.

Enjoy the wet day!

5/13/18 – Happy Mother’s Day, Rain is Around and First Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2018 Season Issued

Rain has been the dominant weather of the day, granted it did not really kick in until later morning. Hope all of the mothers are enjoying the day and thank you for all you do!

Current radar and satellite depict the abundant shower activity and cloud cover over the southern end of the peninsula. Some of this activity could produce lightning, gusty winds to 45mph, and funnel clouds are possible. Some of the heavier showers could cause localized, minor flooding.

And just a short while ago the National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued a Special Tropical Weather Outlook regarding this system. Regardless of development our main concern will be some heavier showers for the next couple days.

Special Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

340 PM EDT Sun May 13 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of cloudiness, showers, and thunderstorms extending

from western Cuba across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, the

Florida Straits, and much of the Florida Peninsula is associated

with a broad surface low and trough interacting with an upper-level

low. This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical

characteristics while it moves slowly northward across the eastern

Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. Regardless of subtropical

or tropical cyclone formation, this system will enhance rainfall

across portions of Florida and the northeastern Gulf Coast during

the next few days. For more information on this system, please see

products issued by your local weather office. The next Special

Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 11 AM EDT

Monday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

Enjoy the rest of your day!

5/5/18 – Showers Around, Not a Total Washout

We will see shower activity today as a trough approaches from the east and interacts with a frontal system currently over the SE US.

Radar this morning is not very active but shows scattered, mostly light showers focused on the east coast.

Activity will increase today but not a total washout but will interfere with the likes of the Ft. Lauderdale Air Show. Latest IR imagery shows the extent of moisture.

That being said rainfall total should be less than a half inch overall as we have a high of 84F. HRRR helps confirm that.

Nothing severe today but keep your umbrella handy, enjoy the day!

April 27 Coral Springs Tornado Details

Here are the details from the NWS on this afternoon’s tornado touchdown in Coral Springs, Florida:

Public Information Statement

National Weather Service Miami FL

906 PM EDT Fri Apr 27 2018

…NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 04/27/2018 BROWARD COUNTY TORNADO…

.OVERVIEW…A brief tornado with a discontinuous path touched down in

Coral Springs in North Central Broward County this afternoon. The

tornado was associated with a thunderstorm that was moving through

the area.

.CORAL SPRINGS TORNADO…

Rating:                 EF-0

Estimated peak wind:    65 mph

Path length (statute):  1.98 miles

Path width (maximum):   40 yards

Fatalities:             0

Injuries:               0

Start date:             Apr 27 2018

Start time:             2:37 PM

EDT Start location:     2 WSW Parkland, Broward County, Florida

Start lat/lon:          26.298 / -80.267

End date:               Apr 27 2018

End time:               2:43 PM EDT

End location:           2 S Parkland, Broward County, Florida

End_lat/lon:            26.286 / -80.238

Survey summary: The National Weather Service conducted a storm

survey this evening and can confirm a tornado touched down south of

the Sawgrass Expressway near Country Hills Elementary School just

east of Coral Springs Drive. The tornado continued ESE towards the

intersection of University Drive and Wiles Road. Then continuing ESE

and lifting just south of Wiles Road near NW 85th Ave. The path was

discontinuous with damage mostly to trees and vegetation. There was

damage to a street sign at the intersection of University and Wiles

Road. Tree damage along the path was mostly to the tops of trees with

branches snapped or broken off. The maximum wind speed is estimated

to be 65 MPH which classifies this tornado as weak and lower end EF0.