10/1/22 – Weekend Outlook, Nice with a Slight Chance of a Showers

Almost a tranquil morning with just a couple of showers well offshore. In Pompano we have a temp of 73° and a dew point of 69°. Not quite as cool as yesterday morning but still refreshing. From satellite our weather is quite calmer than when we had Ian nearby.

Infrared satellite from 615am.
Area observations from 6am.

Today we could see a shower mid to late afternoon otherwise we will see a day like yesterday with a bit more warmth, high 87°. We can expect nearly the same tomorrow.


8/29/22 – Decrease in Shower Activity Tomorrow, a Slight Increase in Temps

Tomorrow we will begin to see a slight drop in our rain chances while we warm up a couple of degrees. The showers we had this morning did produce some gusty winds including a gust to 44mph at Hillsboro Inlet at 7:03am. This activity also helped cool all the reporting stations in the area below 80°. It was refreshing.

Today’s high/low/rainfall.

For the rest of the week we will see the dip in rain chances tomorrow and then bump back up to what we typically see this time of the year from Wednesday through the holiday weekend. Highs just above 90° and lows around 80°.

The tropical wave we mentioned yesterday, 91L, now has a high chance of development and we could see a depression form before the end of the week. It is still early to say where and if the storm will develop.

8pm Tropical Weather Outlook with 91L in red.

Further updates tomorrow.

8/15/22 – Back to School Forecast (Broward)

And just like that, summer vacation is over. As many of us return to our daily school schedules here is what we can expect Tuesday.

Sunrise will be at 6:53 am with a few clouds and an possible isolated shower. Temperature will be 79°. For the afternoon, a better chance of showers and some thunderstorms, not expecting the coverage we saw today. High tomorrow will be 90°.

For the rest of the week we will see a similar pattern with the only change being a decrease in the afternoon rain chances.

Wishing everyone a successful, on-time first day!

Infrared image showing the remaining clouds from this afternoon’s showers and thunderstorms.

6/4/22 830am – Tropical Storm Warning and Flood Watch Remain in Effect

A night of steady rain which at times was heavy will continue into our Saturday. As PTC1 approaches the southwest Florida coast we will see some of the activity pickup. Rain will subside late this afternoon then into the evening as PTC1 moves off of Florida into the Atlantic.

Miami radar as of 819am. The last round of showers now approaching the west coast of the state.
Satellite loop from the past three hours. Notice lack of activity behind the system.
Latest information on PTC1 as of 8am.

I will have more updates on Twitter today, feel free to share any pictures you have of the storm today.

6/3/22 1015pm – Tropical Storm Warning and Flood Watch

Not much change to the forecast and expectations overnight and into Saturday. The system does not have a closed circulation, hence it is still Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 (PTC1) Here is the latest forecast and the Tropical Storm Warnings in effect.

8pm Advisory for PTC1.

The system is not well organized with all of the convection east of the broad low pressure center. This is easier seen on water vapor imagery.

Water vapor loop on PTC1.

Looking closely at the loop above, it appears the activity is waning somewhat, not a sign of intensification. Rainfall through the weekend is still five plus inches for many areas.

Rainfall forecast through the weekend, most of this will fall between now and Saturday night.

Latest tropical models remain very consistency with taking the center over Lake Okeechobee. With this system, it is not about the system but the area of rain to the east of it.

Lastly for now, here are 10pm observations from across south Florida and the Keys. Most sites are reporting rain to heavy rain, but the winds are not significant at this time.

10pm observations across south Florida.

I will have periodic updates on Twitter. Please share any pictures or observations you have as we go through the night and Saturday.

5/30/22 Memorial Day – Showers and Thunderstorms Possible Today

Another day with showers and thunderstorms around but not all day. The main focus will be mid afternoon to early evening for today’s activity, but at this time not expecting the rainfall amounts we saw on Sunday. Here is the 24 hour rainfall forecast for the state. The Pompano area can expect one half to one inch of rain,.

Partly to cloudy skies today with a high of 86° for this Memorial Day where we honor those who have given their lives for the freedom we have today.

Latest satellite image showing plenty of activity around the southern part of Florida and the Bahamas.

Finally for this morning, the National Hurricane Season has bumped up the chances for development to medium for the area around the Yucatán peninsula. An area for us to keep an eye on, there is no immediate threat.

Tropical Weather Outlook for May 30, 2022, 8am.

5/29/22 Strong Storms and Heavy Rain Setting In

Over the past couple of hours thunderstorm activity has blossomed over southeast Florida. Between the satellite and radar loops the focus has been on the eastern half of the counties.

Three hour satellite loop.
Radar loop.

Pompano Beach Airport has recorded a 44mph wind gust last hour and over 1.5 inches of rain. There have also been a couple of small hail reports.

Follow on Twitter for other updates this afternoon and evening.

5/22/22 – New Week Outlook and First Tropical Disturbance of the 2022 Season

After a very wet and storm end of last week, then a dry, very warm weekend we will see some moderation in the temperature as we go into this new week. Rain chances do not increase until mid week and then do return for the Memorial Day weekend with a trough of low pressure that will be in our area. We will look closer at the weekend later in the week. Here are the forecasted highs and lows for the next seven days.

NWS forecasted highs and lows.

We also have our first tropical disturbance identified this evening. This will not affect south Florida but just a reminder the season is upon us. This is the time to begin our preparedness.

8pm Tropical Weather Outlook. Area will move inland tomorrow, not likely to develop into anything before given the proximity to land.

4/1/22 – No Joke, Severe Weather Threat for the Weekend

Good morning, a few notes for the weather today and this weekend. Today we will see the start of a wet pattern across the area as a cold front to our north slowly creeps down the state and then stall over the weekend around the Lake area. We will warm and humid today with highs in the upper 80s and dew points in the 70s. A combination of these items will allow showers and some thunder storms to develop later today and then become more numerous over the weekend,

Forecast map for this afternoon.

Saturday and Sunday we could see a severe weather threat across Broward and Palm Beach counties with the Storm Prediction Center placing us under a Marginal (level 1 of 5) risk of severe weather. For today the risk exists mainly to our north and to the west.

SPC severe weather threat map.

I will have an update later today to be more specific with the overall rain threat and severe weather possibilities.

1/30/22 – One More Cold Night, Warming Up This Week

After a very cold weekend we are in for a gradual warmup this week. With lows in the upper 30s to around 40° this morning we will be about 5° warmer Monday morning. From there our gradual warming begins with a high of 70° Monday afternoon.

NWS forecast for this week.

Minimal rain, if any at all this week. No expecting any rain through Tuesday. Starting on Wednesday there could be a couple showers in the area. That risk remains for the rest of the week.

Looking back on today, here are the highs and lows from today (Location/High/Low/Precipitation):

FLL : Fort Lauderdale Intl : 63 / 40 / 0.00
FXE : Fort Lauderdale Exec : 62 / 40 / 0.00
HST : Homestead AFB : 60 / 40 / 0.00
MIA : Miami : 63 / 42 / 0.00
APF : Naples : 61 / 37 / 0.00
OPF : Opa-locka : 62 / 41 / 0.00
HWO : Pembroke Pines : 62 / 39 / 0.00
PMP : Pompano Beach : 62 / 40 / 0.00
TMB : West Kendall-Tamiami : 63 / 39 / 0.00
PBI : West Palm Beach : 61 / 37 / 0.00

Have a great week!