5/30/20 – Warm with Some Clouds, Questionable Launch Weather

We are in store for a very pleasant weather day with some clouds and warm temps with just a few spotty showers around this afternoon. High today will be 87°. Tomorrow will be much the same with a slightly better chance of rain. Hour by hour temps:

Launch weather to our north does not look as favorable with rain associated with afternoon convention around that is likely to hamper the launch this afternoon. Both the Euro and HRRR show rain around 3pm.

The official NWS forecast at 3pm is not encouraging at all for Cape Canaveral. Calling for a likely chance of rain and thunder before and after launch time.

Finally for this morning, still watching the tropics as a disturbance in the Atlantic looks a bit better organized this morning but it appears some dry air in the area may inhibit development. Currently the NHC gives it a medium chance of development over the next five days. Regardless this will not impact Florida.

I will try to update Twitter later with launch weather updates.


5/29/20 – Better Weather Weekend and Launch Forecast

After a couple of rainy weather weekend we are in for a change as most of the coastal areas of Broward and Palm Beach counties should be rain free through the weekend. There will be a mixture of clouds and sun with highs on Saturday 87° after a low of 78°. NWS rainfall map for the next three days.

I have had a few questions about tomorrow’s launch forecast for SpaceX Falcon 9 Dragon Crew Demo-2 and it looks quite iffy. NASA currently give a 50% chance of permissible weather with the weather threats being rain and rules not allowing flight through cumulus clouds and anvils.

Latest EURO shows rain in the general area mid afternoon tomorrow.

The latest HRRR predictive radar also indicate rain in the east Central Florida area.

I will post an update in the morning with the latest data and also more on the tropical disturbance being monitored in the Atlantic, that is not a threat to our area.

Have a good evening.