Starting Labor Day Monday with 86° in Pompano as we prepare for a high today of 93°. Yes, still quite summer-like today. Latest temps around the SE coast look like this at 8am.
Latest satellite shows some clouds and the dry air we had over us is now well to our south.
Overall today only a chance of a shower and a possible thunderstorm. Shower activity will be mostly in the morning areas and more focuses on the west coast in the afternoon and evening. We will see this pattern for the first part of the week.
Since we are now in the Fall, meteorologically, we can start looking at the extended forecast models for the first hints of Fall weather. According the latest GEFS, we are not there yet. The next two weeks appear to not break the Summer patter.
As usual this time of year we are already hovering around 90° with dew points between 73° and 75°.
We have had some drier air work into the area overnight and this will help keep our rain chances down through the Labor Day weekend. Showers and a few thunderstorms are possible but not to the extent we have seen over the past week. The dry air can be see on water vapor imagery (in brown on this image).
Highs today will be around 92° with our lows hovering around 80°.
Tropics have picked up in activity with no threats at this time to the area. Hurricane Danielle is in the North Atlantic and newly formed Tropical Storm Earl north of the Leeward Islands. The 11am advisories and maps are below.
Follow on Twitter for updates @pompanoweather through the weekend.
Tomorrow we will begin to see a slight drop in our rain chances while we warm up a couple of degrees. The showers we had this morning did produce some gusty winds including a gust to 44mph at Hillsboro Inlet at 7:03am. This activity also helped cool all the reporting stations in the area below 80°. It was refreshing.
For the rest of the week we will see the dip in rain chances tomorrow and then bump back up to what we typically see this time of the year from Wednesday through the holiday weekend. Highs just above 90° and lows around 80°.
The tropical wave we mentioned yesterday, 91L, now has a high chance of development and we could see a depression form before the end of the week. It is still early to say where and if the storm will develop.
As we head into a holiday weekend, we will see another week where we will see some shower activity in the mornings. Afternoons will continue quite warm with some scattered showers around. Morning temps will be around 80F and the midafternoon temps around 91F.
The tropics have started to come alive after a mostly dormant August. This is not typical at all. On average, there are two named storms in the month. The 8pm Tropical Weather Outlooks indicates four areas being monitored; one of these areas (in red) has a high chance of development in the next five days.
There are no immediate concerns for south Florida at this time. Though, all of us should have our storm supplies and plans ready.
The latest models on this system show some modest development as it treks across the Atlantic.
Please follow the site on Twitter @PompanoWeather for local weather updates and tropical news.
Not a bad weather weekend ahead, though be prepared for some showers and possible thunderstorms as we go into Saturday and Sunday. Highs will continue to hover around 90° with lows around 80°.
Rainfall totals will be modest for those who do see rain, between a quarter and one-half inch through Sunday night.
For those who may head out tonight to Pompano’s Old Town Untapped we should be mostly rain free, though a quick passing shower is possible. Temperature will be around 85° with partly cloudy skies and a light breeze.
Though we are seeing some showers and thunderstorms this Sunday afternoon the week ahead will be quite warm with highs in the lower 90s. Rain chance the first part of the week will be low followed by a better chance of showers Thursday and Friday. Through Wednesday we may see between one-quarter and one-half inch of rain. Central and the panhandle part of the start will see greater amounts.
For tropical weather we will be watching a trough of low pressure over the southeast US that could generate an area of low pressure in the northern Gulf of Mexico by late week. I am not expecting this to directly affect us in south Florida.
A night of steady rain which at times was heavy will continue into our Saturday. As PTC1 approaches the southwest Florida coast we will see some of the activity pickup. Rain will subside late this afternoon then into the evening as PTC1 moves off of Florida into the Atlantic.
I will have more updates on Twitter today, feel free to share any pictures you have of the storm today.
Not much change to the forecast and expectations overnight and into Saturday. The system does not have a closed circulation, hence it is still Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 (PTC1) Here is the latest forecast and the Tropical Storm Warnings in effect.
The system is not well organized with all of the convection east of the broad low pressure center. This is easier seen on water vapor imagery.
Looking closely at the loop above, it appears the activity is waning somewhat, not a sign of intensification. Rainfall through the weekend is still five plus inches for many areas.
Latest tropical models remain very consistency with taking the center over Lake Okeechobee. With this system, it is not about the system but the area of rain to the east of it.
Lastly for now, here are 10pm observations from across south Florida and the Keys. Most sites are reporting rain to heavy rain, but the winds are not significant at this time.
I will have periodic updates on Twitter. Please share any pictures or observations you have as we go through the night and Saturday.
Currently a band of showers and thunderstorms have setup over north Broward. This is a sample of what is to come in the Friday afternoon to Sunday morning time frame.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring some of the remnants of Hurricane Agetha that came ashore Mexico earlier this week. Currently the area in red has an 80% chance of becoming a tropical system. If it gets a name, it will be Alex.
The future of the system path is fairly certain to come towards Florida then into the Bahama. This will likely produce three to five inches of rain in most areas with locally heavier amounts.
The latest guidance suggest that the further south the system goes the faster the rain will move in and depart. A track closer to the Naples area will produce more rain. Air Force recon will investigate the area starting tomorrow, giving models more data and more reliable output. The 8pm models are below.
Tomorrow should give us more clarity on what to expect this Friday and into the weekend. Please stop by then.
Another day with showers and thunderstorms around but not all day. The main focus will be mid afternoon to early evening for today’s activity, but at this time not expecting the rainfall amounts we saw on Sunday. Here is the 24 hour rainfall forecast for the state. The Pompano area can expect one half to one inch of rain,.
Partly to cloudy skies today with a high of 86° for this Memorial Day where we honor those who have given their lives for the freedom we have today.
Finally for this morning, the National Hurricane Season has bumped up the chances for development to medium for the area around the Yucatán peninsula. An area for us to keep an eye on, there is no immediate threat.