Author: Howard

Wow, after a high of 98F yesterday in Pompano we could be in store for another day in the upper 90s. This morning’s model runs are showing highs anywhere from 89F (ECMWF) to 99F (GFS operational). The high will be determined by the direction of the local winds. In between is the latest HRRR with 94F.

9am temp at Pompano is 86F with a heat index of 97F, dew point is 77F.

Regardless, we are running a risk of some stronger storms later this afternoon and these should focus on the east coast. Main weather threats today will be frequent lightning, brief gusty winds, and the possibility of funnel clouds. Activity does not appear to be widespread at this time but be ready to head for shelter if you hear thunder but do not cancel your outdoor plans.

Shower activity should become more typical for this time of the year starting tomorrow and into the new week. Temps will also moderate with highs around 90F and lows around 80F through most of the week.

Enjoy your day!

NHC will initiate advisories on TS Beryl starting at 1pm. Here is the special statement:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1215 PM EDT Sat Jul 14 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Outlook to again update the discussion on the remnants of

Beryl

Recent satellite wind data indicates that the low pressure area

associated with the remnants of Beryl has a well-defined circulation

and gale-force winds east of the center.  Based on this and

persistent convection near the center, a special advisory upgrading

the system to a subtropical storm will be issued by 1 PM EDT…

1700 UTC.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…near 100 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…high…near 100 percent.

7am temp in Pompano on this Sunday morning is 77F with a “comfortable” dewpoint of 71F. Drier than usual air is over south Florida for this time of the year and this will translate to fewer showers around. The easterly wind will also keep our high today about 90F and push any attitude that should develop further west. Latest HRRR shows this as well.As we go into the coming work week we will return to about normal rain chances and about normal temps. Latest NWS temps for Pompano like this.Tropics have become a bit busier since we entered July. What was hurricane Beryl in now Tropical Storm Beryl moving west-northwest this morning with max winds of 45mph. Air Force recon has found Beryl disorganized and there is little signs of strengthening over the next few days. Latest model plots look like this.Tropical Storm Chris was upgraded this morning from TD3. Chris should be of no concern for us. Chris is forecasted to strengthen as it meanders off the Carolina coast the next couple days.Enjoy your Sunday!

Half of 2018 is now over as we turn the page to July. Very warm and humid morning in Pompano Beach with a 9am temp of 85F. A note from yesterday, our high was 89F which was our first sub-90F high in over a week.

Some drier air has worked into the area this will keep rain coverage down today but will not eliminate the chance of showers and thunderstorms. Latest HRRR shows some activity developing late morning then moving off to the west.

Winds will be from the southeast today which should keep our temps just under 90F. The GFS is showing highs into the 90s and the Euro in the mid-80s so let’s like again at the HRRR which I think has a better solution for the highs today.

Do not hesitate to get outside today but drink lots of water! If heading to the beach be aware of lots of seaweed, here is what the shoreline looked like this morning.

I could even see the seaweed bobbing in the nearshore water as well. That is the “rough” texture you can see on the ocean’s surface in the pictures.

Enjoy the day!

A warm 82F at 5am in Pompano Beach as we begin this weekend.

Most other locations are in the upper 70S across SE Florida with dew points not far behind. Moisture is in place for the same type of weather we have been having, so expect the round of afternoon showers and thunderstorms as we get into the mid afternoon to late afternoon hours. HRRR depicts this very well.

Looking at tomorrow and beyond, shower coverage appears to be a bit less tomorrow through Tuesday then back to what we have been seeing for the later part of the week. I will update the Fourth of July forecast tomorrow. As you can see with the NWS forecasted highs and lows summer is here.

Enjoy your day!

We are certainly in our summertime pattern. Temp in the 7am hour is 81F with a dewpoint of 75F with nearly no wind.

Like previous days we will see our high at 91F with showers and thunderstorms developing early to mid afternoon. The change today is they will not be as plentiful along the east coast and the activity will move off to the west. Latest HRRR shows this very well.

No severe weather expected but heavier showers could cause ponding on roadways and waterspouts are possible over the local waters.

Tropics are quite and no concerns there for us over the next five days.

Get out and enjoy Florida summertime (with plenty of water – it is hot out there already). Here is how Pompano Beach looked earlier this morning.

Good morning and it appears we are on the brink of some slightly drier weather ahead for the weekend and into early next week. High pressure over the Bahamas will move west. This will not eliminate showers/thunderstorms but the coverage will be less and focus more towards the center of the state. The latest HRRR shows showers not as widespread late afternoon today.

Today’s high will be 89F with our weather threats being lightning associated with the any of the storms that form and a waterspout cannot be ruled out for coastal shower activity.

The Euro rainfall forecast for the weekend shows accusations under .5 inches for most of the area.

NWS highs and lows for the days ahead do not change much day-to-day.

Enjoy the day, get outside and enjoy it.

Subtropical Storm Alberto has entered the Gulf of Mexico, currently with max winds of 40mph. We have had gusts exceeding that this morning, most recently at a mesonet station two miles west of Lighthouse Point at 443am of 46mph.

Currently in Pompano 77F with light rain, winds are from the SE at 25mph with gusts to 31mph. Here is the radar where you can see the heaviest rain is off shore.

As Alberto begins to move towards the NNW later today we will need to watch the rain bands and see if they move closer to the coast, this could increase of rainfall totals and that is why we have the Flood Watch in effect. Latest rainfall total forecast from NWS Miami.

Latest satellite image showing Alberto and its proximity to SE Florida

We are under no tropical watches or warnings and I would not expect any to be issued though we could see a wind advisory later today if the winds were to pick up. Latest advisory on Alberto with forecast .

So, not the best outdoors day. Marine conditions will be rough. Do not drive through flooded roadways and if you are out today please allow extra time. More later.

Some pictures from Pompano Beach this morning. Enjoy the day!

Well, this is how we will start off the 2018 Hurricane Season. To be clear, this is not an Irma situation and will not see the widespread wind damage we had in September. At the same time we do need to be ready as we head into this season.

Wet weekend, yes. As wet as last weekend, probably not. But the potential is there for Flash Flooding and a Flood Watch will be in effect starting at 8am on Saturday. Current official NWS rainfall forecast through Monday at 8pm look like this.

Latest GFS and Euro do come in at 1.7 and 3.0 inches respectfully for the time frame. Today’s rain fall in the Pompano area amounted to between a half-inch to just under an inch.

In addition to the rain our weather threats this weekend include a moderate to high risk of rip currents and the potential for some strong to sever storms Saturday night into Sunday morning. I will wait until tomorrow to expand on this.

Model agreement is very good with the future track of Alberto taking the system into the north, central Gulf coast. No need to focus on the center of this storm, we are on the west side which is the wet, stormier side of tropical systems. Latest runs look like this.

To summarize, no need to panic but use caution if you are out and about this weekend and remember “turn around, don’t drown.” For your safety and your vehicle’s well being if you cannot determine how deep puddles are DO NOT drive through it.

Have a great night and watch for an update tomorrow.

Not much more to say but we have more rain not only today but for the week ahead. Widespread severe weather is not expected but we are in an Flood Watch until 11pm tonight. Some of the activity today could contain lightning and gusty winds. For mariners waterspouts are possible over the local waters. So, again, not the best outdoors day.

Current radar and satellite show the large area of rain over us now with the satellite image indicating this extends down into the southern Bahamas and Cuba.

Local high resolution models maintain the rain activity throughout the day, here is the HRRR simulate radar for 3pm today.

As mentioned rain is on tap for the work week ahead too. Official NWS rainfall forecast for the entire state show moat all areas receiving at least an inch over the next five days with southeast Florida seeing much more.

For the month so far (as of yesterday 8am) here are the area totals for rainfall.

I will post later for our more than likely wet Holiday weekend. Here is another example of the weather outside this morning at Pompano Beach.

Enjoy the wet day!