8/12/2018 – Afternoon Showers and Thunderstorms

Not an unusual Sunday ahead for this time of the year. Starting our day off with 77F and a few point of 75F and no shower activity across the mainland right now. There is some shower activity about 50 miles off the coast.

For the rest of the day we will some afternoon showers develop and will affect some areas. This activity will be scattered, like yesterday, where some areas could see up to a half inch of rain and there see none. High today 92F.

For the upcoming week where the area schools are going back into session, we will see shower and thunderstorms in the afternoon likely Monday and Tuesday and less likely the second half of the week. Temps will be about where we have seen them for the past couple weeks.

Enjoy your day!

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8/4/2018 – Scattered Showers/Thunderstorms this Weekend, High Risk of Rip Currents

Compared to previous weekends we should see less total rain but we will see scattered showers across the area today and tomorrow on the easterly flow setup across the area. Latest HRRR depicts this pretty well.

High today will be 91F and a bit breezy. The easterly wind will produce a high risk of rip currents, beach waters will be rough and I would not venture out into the water.

Nothing surprising in our temps for the week ahead, as we stay near normal throughout. Blend of models show very consistent temperatures.

Tropics are relatively quiet, the NHC is watching an area in the mid-Atlantic which is currently non-tropical but could acquire tropical characteristics. They are giving a 20% chance of development over the next five days.

Later this week for us we may be under the influence of more Saharan dust, this is showing up very well on satellite this morning as it progresses across the Atlantic.

Enjoy the day!

7/29/2018 – Showers and Thunderstorms for Sunday and Monday

At 8am we are at 80F in Pompano with showers and thunderstorms affecting our coastal areas. Light accumulations of rain over night with .08 inches at my house.

Like yesterday, expect some periods of sun but also more shower activity today and tomorrow. The activity is expected to move slower than yesterday so in addition to lightning be cautious of local flooding in areas of heavier, prolonged rain.

This pattern will be with us for the start of the work week with some decrease in shower activity starting Wednesday. Highs today will be 90F with low a low of 79F tonight. This range will be expected through most of the week.

Tropics remain quiet at this time with no significant areas the National Hurricane Center is currently watching.

Enjoy your day!

7/22/2017 – Another Hot Day Ahead, Storms Possible this Afternoon

Wow, after a high of 98F yesterday in Pompano we could be in store for another day in the upper 90s. This morning’s model runs are showing highs anywhere from 89F (ECMWF) to 99F (GFS operational). The high will be determined by the direction of the local winds. In between is the latest HRRR with 94F.

9am temp at Pompano is 86F with a heat index of 97F, dew point is 77F.

Regardless, we are running a risk of some stronger storms later this afternoon and these should focus on the east coast. Main weather threats today will be frequent lightning, brief gusty winds, and the possibility of funnel clouds. Activity does not appear to be widespread at this time but be ready to head for shelter if you hear thunder but do not cancel your outdoor plans.

Shower activity should become more typical for this time of the year starting tomorrow and into the new week. Temps will also moderate with highs around 90F and lows around 80F through most of the week.

Enjoy your day!

Beryl Regenerates, Advisories will Begin at 1pm

NHC will initiate advisories on TS Beryl starting at 1pm. Here is the special statement:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1215 PM EDT Sat Jul 14 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Outlook to again update the discussion on the remnants of

Beryl

Recent satellite wind data indicates that the low pressure area

associated with the remnants of Beryl has a well-defined circulation

and gale-force winds east of the center.  Based on this and

persistent convection near the center, a special advisory upgrading

the system to a subtropical storm will be issued by 1 PM EDT…

1700 UTC.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…near 100 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…high…near 100 percent.

7/8/2018 – Drier Than Normal Summer Day for SFla, Tropical Storm Beryl Disorganized, Tropical Storm Chris Near Carolina Coast

7am temp in Pompano on this Sunday morning is 77F with a “comfortable” dewpoint of 71F. Drier than usual air is over south Florida for this time of the year and this will translate to fewer showers around. The easterly wind will also keep our high today about 90F and push any attitude that should develop further west. Latest HRRR shows this as well.As we go into the coming work week we will return to about normal rain chances and about normal temps. Latest NWS temps for Pompano like this.Tropics have become a bit busier since we entered July. What was hurricane Beryl in now Tropical Storm Beryl moving west-northwest this morning with max winds of 45mph. Air Force recon has found Beryl disorganized and there is little signs of strengthening over the next few days. Latest model plots look like this.Tropical Storm Chris was upgraded this morning from TD3. Chris should be of no concern for us. Chris is forecasted to strengthen as it meanders off the Carolina coast the next couple days.Enjoy your Sunday!

7/1/2018 – Fewer Showers Today, Still Very Warm

Half of 2018 is now over as we turn the page to July. Very warm and humid morning in Pompano Beach with a 9am temp of 85F. A note from yesterday, our high was 89F which was our first sub-90F high in over a week.

Some drier air has worked into the area this will keep rain coverage down today but will not eliminate the chance of showers and thunderstorms. Latest HRRR shows some activity developing late morning then moving off to the west.

Winds will be from the southeast today which should keep our temps just under 90F. The GFS is showing highs into the 90s and the Euro in the mid-80s so let’s like again at the HRRR which I think has a better solution for the highs today.

Do not hesitate to get outside today but drink lots of water! If heading to the beach be aware of lots of seaweed, here is what the shoreline looked like this morning.

I could even see the seaweed bobbing in the nearshore water as well. That is the “rough” texture you can see on the ocean’s surface in the pictures.

Enjoy the day!